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Wednesday, April 25, 2007

DAY 141 (START OF $100NL)

Well this level started off like $50NL ended. HORRID! I have a program that tells me if I am running HOT or COLD depending on my Expected All-in Equity. I am running really really cold.

LAST 2 DAYS ALL-IN EQUITY:

found 4 headsup allin situations
won: 2 lost: 2 tied: 0
average potsize: $133.65
average ev: 0.7938
money won: $200.25
money expected (based on allin equity): 413.36
money difference: -$213.11 (This is how cold I ran in two days)
max money diff: 2007-04-24 23:52:56-05 at +32.25
min money diff: 2007-04-25 23:29:26-05 at -213.11
total_bet: 268.80$

I mean bad beats happen, what can you do, but it sure is frustrating having an avg ev of .79 and losing $213.11 money expected. Good thing poker is a long run game.

So how HOT of COLD am I running since I started my challenge?

(THIS IS OVER 90,000 HANDS)

found 822 headsup allin situations
won: 476 lost: 317 tied: 29
average potsize: $38.94
average ev: 0.5918
money won: $18418.47
money expected (based on allin equity): $18979.91
money difference: -$561.44
max money diff: 2007-01-19 04:13:46-06 at +$138.72
min money diff: 2007-04-07 02:05:15-05 at -$633.80
total_bet: $15781.82

So yeah, -$561.44 down. Wow I run cold. This is 11 buy-ins at $50NL more I should have won. To run bad for 90k hands is tough. Now I am playing $100NL and I can't wait to run HOT and get back to normal expected all-in equity!

HERE ARE MY LAST TWO ALL-IN HANDS: (SIGH)

HAND 2 ($128.85 pot) Got it in as a 81% fav with AA vs QQ.

HAND 2 ($199.50 pot) Got it in as a 68% fav with top two pair.

I cannot run bad forever, things will turn around. Just have to keep playing solid poker!

Today's Stats @ $100NL

Today: -$191.15
To date: +$2366.45
To go: $47633.55
Bankroll: $2566.45

357 hands***1.3 hours***-26.77 PTbb/100***MT: 2.69

1 comment:

BigMac1082 said...

Can you post a link to the program you are running to analyze your all-in equity?